Monday, December 14, 2009

Win - Win at Copenhagen ; on the books at least

Its Monday 14th december 2009 , 3 nights before any consenus is reached. but really its quite predicatbalke what will happen .
Targets will be high, but core promises unreachable . Like Sydney we will say a lot but say very little.
If the gas balance in the atmosphere is more resilaint than we are told is the case everyone wins . Governments get their taxes and to all intents and purposes in 2015 or 2020 " the Copenhagen treaty will be seen to be be effective" .
WE agree 1. to no more than a 2 degree rise by 2020
2 and /or a 15% cut in co2 by 2020.
China will find it easiest and benefit the most cause it currently is one of the worst emmiters . ETS if anything is a good way to pay the worst offenders and those amazing miracle workers behind the scenes - don't seem to be many at Copenhagen who know these complications: The school of mere description wins again

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